In the heart of China’s agricultural powerhouse, Henan Province, a delicate balance is tipping. The region, a linchpin in China’s food security, is grappling with the consequences of excessive groundwater extraction, threatening the sustainability of its vital winter wheat–summer maize rotation system. New research published in *Frontiers in Plant Science* sheds light on the spatiotemporal dynamics of crop water use and groundwater depletion, offering insights that could reshape agricultural practices and policies.
The study, led by Zhao Zhang, employs a comprehensive water balance framework to analyze data from 1961 to 2020. This framework integrates crop evapotranspiration (ETc), effective precipitation (Re), irrigation water requirement (Iwr), and net groundwater consumption (NGWC). The findings reveal a complex interplay of factors driving water use and depletion.
Winter wheat and summer maize, the two staples of Henan’s double-cropping system, exhibit contrasting trends in water use. “Winter wheat shows increasing ETc under climate warming, while summer maize experiences a decline driven by improved water-use efficiency,” explains Zhao Zhang. This divergence is crucial for farmers and policymakers to understand, as it directly impacts irrigation strategies and water management.
Effective precipitation has decreased during key growth stages, exacerbating the situation. “This has led to increased irrigation demand for winter wheat but a reduction for summer maize,” notes the study. However, the most pressing concern is groundwater depletion. Winter wheat has been the primary culprit, consuming three to four times more groundwater annually than maize. Yet, since 2010, maize groundwater use has surged, intensifying water stress in the central–northern plains.
The commercial implications are significant. Groundwater depletion poses a substantial risk to agricultural productivity, which in turn affects food security and economic stability. The study proposes a dual strategy to mitigate these issues: winter wheat fallowing and summer maize water conservation. These measures could help alleviate overexploitation and promote sustainable agriculture.
The research provides a scientific foundation for optimizing cropping patterns and improving water resource sustainability. As Zhao Zhang emphasizes, “These findings are crucial for major grain-producing regions in North China.” The insights could guide future developments in agricultural practices, water management, and policy-making, ensuring the long-term viability of Henan’s vital agricultural sector.
In an era of climate change and growing water scarcity, such studies are more important than ever. They offer a roadmap for balancing agricultural productivity with environmental sustainability, ensuring food security for future generations. As the world grapples with these challenges, the lessons from Henan Province could resonate far beyond its borders, influencing global agricultural practices and policies.

