China’s Cotton Farmers Harness AI for Water-Efficient Harvests

In the arid expanses of northern Xinjiang, China, cotton farmers face a formidable challenge: how to optimize irrigation to maximize yields while contending with severe water shortages. A novel method developed by Hang Wang and colleagues from the Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, offers a promising solution. Their research, published in *Industrial Crops and Products*, integrates field experiments with numerical simulations to fine-tune irrigation schedules for cotton crops under mulched drip irrigation conditions.

The study introduces a reliable estimation method for the Plant Water Deficit Index (PWDI), a critical metric for assessing crop water needs. By analyzing the response of key cotton photosynthetic indicators to PWDI, the researchers identified optimal thresholds for the squaring (0.48) and boll stages (0.52) of cotton growth. These thresholds are pivotal for triggering irrigation at the most critical growth stages, ensuring that water is used most efficiently.

Using the HYDRUS model, a sophisticated soil water transport simulator, the team constructed a model specific to drip-irrigated cotton under film mulch. This model allowed them to simulate various irrigation scenarios and characterize PWDI variations throughout the growth period. The findings reveal that when the cotton irrigation quota is limited to 420–480 mm, the lower limit of irrigation should be carefully managed—between 65% and 70% field capacity during the squaring stage and 50% and 55% during the boll stage. This approach minimizes water-stress days, a critical factor for maximizing yield in water-scarce regions.

The commercial implications of this research are substantial. “This method has the potential to revolutionize irrigation practices in water-scarce areas,” says Hang Wang, lead author of the study. “By optimizing water use at key growth stages, farmers can achieve higher yields with limited water resources, which is crucial for sustainable agriculture in regions like northern Xinjiang.”

The study also highlights the need for further refinement, particularly in improving the accuracy of PWDI estimation. As the agricultural sector continues to grapple with water scarcity, innovations like this could pave the way for more efficient and sustainable farming practices. The integration of advanced modeling techniques with field experiments offers a blueprint for future research, promising to enhance water-use efficiency and crop productivity in challenging environments.

For the agriculture sector, this research represents a significant step forward. By providing a data-driven approach to irrigation management, it equips farmers with the tools needed to navigate water shortages while maintaining high yields. As climate change continues to exacerbate water scarcity, such innovations will be essential for ensuring food security and sustainable agricultural development.

The study, published in *Industrial Crops and Products*, underscores the importance of interdisciplinary research in addressing global agricultural challenges. With further refinement, this method could become a cornerstone of modern irrigation practices, offering a scalable solution for farmers worldwide.

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